A.J. Brown Fantasy Overview

2024 Summary

Production & Fantasy Finishes

Brown tallied 67 catches, 1,079 yards, and seven TDs across 13 games.

In two games without WR DeVonta Smith (hamstring), Brown recorded lines of:

• 6-109-1 (at Rams)
• 5-66-0 (at Ravens)

On the year, Brown recorded six top-ten fantasy finishes. He finished worse than WR36 only once.

The former Titan ranked 19th in total PPR points and 11th in points per game.

Usage & Role

Per Pro Football Focus, Brown played 82.8% of his passing snaps out wide, up from 2022 and 2023 (74.1% and 75.8%, respectively).

Brown's average depth of target (12.8 yards) remained steady, though. And his target share remained healthy. Brown drew a robust 31.4% share in 13 games. Only Malik Nabers (35.3%) posted a higher mark.

Efficiency Metrics

Brown set career highs in Pro Football Focus receiving grade, yards per route run, and ESPN Receiver Score. Among 51 WRs with 80+ targets, he ranked top three in each metric.

Brown added an 18th-place finish in yards after catch per reception. He also proved reliable with a low 2.5% drop rate -- and a high 59.4% contested catch rate.

Offensive Context

Brown signed a three-year contract extension in April of 2024.

He continued to hold the No. 1 WR role under first-year OC Kellen Moore, who orchestrated a run-heavy attack. The ‘24 Eagles ranked bottom two in:

• Pass rate
• Neutral pass rate
• Pass rate over expected
• Red zone pass rate
• Red zone pass rate over expected

QB Jalen Hurts took a step back as a passer, and that surely contributed to a lack of volume. He hit 30 or fewer pass attempts in 11 of 15 games.

Historical Production & Trends

Brown has now hit 1,000+ yards and 7+ TDs in five of six pro seasons.

He's recorded lines of 88-1,496-11, 106-1,456-7, and 67-1,079-7 in three seasons with Philadelphia.

Injury History

Brown sustained a hamstring strain in practice ahead of Week 2. He missed three games around a Week 5 bye.

Brown left in the third quarter of Week 9 with a knee injury, but an MRI turned up nothing of concern. He didn’t miss another game until Week 18, when he was listed with “knee/rest” on the injury report. Philly couldn’t improve their playoff seeding, so this was purely a rest situation.

Brown played all 17 games in 2022 and 2023, his first two seasons with the Eagles.

2025 Expectations

Projected Role & Competition

Brown’s No. 1 WR status remains in place.

Last year, he topped DeVonta Smith in targets per game (7.5 to 6.8) and yards per game (83 to 64). Smith matched Brown with 13 games played.

TE Dallas Goedert returns to handle a secondary receiving role.

Supporting Cast

Brown will look for more consistent QB play from Jalen Hurts. His 71.0 PFF passing grade marked a sharp decline from the previous two seasons.

Hurts also wasn’t one to push the ball downfield, with a deep ball rate of 11.1%. That ranked 26th among 46 qualifying QBs. Meanwhile, 18.6% of Brown's targets came on deep balls -- 20th among 28 qualifying WRs.

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

Kellen Moore took the HC job in New Orleans following one season as Philadelphia’s play-caller.

In steps Kevin Patullo, the Eagles’ pass-game coordinator since 2021. The continuity should be beneficial. Most critically, we don’t expect a drastic shift from their run-heavy, Super Bowl-winning formula.

Philly’s 2024 offense fired off a league-low 448 passes – 29 fewer than the next closest team (Baltimore).